Monday, December 28, 2009
Trades For Dec 28th
I'd short more AAPL and GMCR here, both are super extended. I'd buy AIXG here. 1/4 positions all.
Thursday, December 24, 2009
Follow on Trades
Buy 1/4 position in AIXG for a bounce to 37.5, strong stock in a strong area.
Would add 1/4 pos shorts to MHK, GMCR and PALM. Start 1/4 pos short in AAPL b/c of valuation reflecting expectations of perfection and the hype of a January announcement.
Looking to short oil on a rally to ~39.5. Trend is still down, weak economy.
(I'll start posting a table once this gets a little more complex.)
Would add 1/4 pos shorts to MHK, GMCR and PALM. Start 1/4 pos short in AAPL b/c of valuation reflecting expectations of perfection and the hype of a January announcement.
Looking to short oil on a rally to ~39.5. Trend is still down, weak economy.
(I'll start posting a table once this gets a little more complex.)
Thursday, December 17, 2009
Trades to Start Off
MHK can be shorted near 49, here. I would short, in a 10 mil book, 5k shares at 48.67 for a quarter position.
PALM I would have to have a quarter position for earnings tonight. 25k shares. 11.50
GMCR is going to continue its consolidation here, so would trade it here 66.53 down to 60. I'd short 4000 shares.
BKS can trade for a small bounce. Buy 10k shares at 18.80 to sell at 22.
Disclaimer: This is for my own notes and entertainment, and completely not for any other purposes. Not a solicitation, or advice.
PALM I would have to have a quarter position for earnings tonight. 25k shares. 11.50
GMCR is going to continue its consolidation here, so would trade it here 66.53 down to 60. I'd short 4000 shares.
BKS can trade for a small bounce. Buy 10k shares at 18.80 to sell at 22.
Disclaimer: This is for my own notes and entertainment, and completely not for any other purposes. Not a solicitation, or advice.
Monday, December 14, 2009
GRMN: How Garmin Can Be Worth MULTIPLES Of What It Is Now
Yes, I am a big believer that GPS devices like GRMN will be absolutely cannibalized by the Droid and other phones.
A few caveats though: the company is flush with cash, has no debt and a strong operating team. At some price, people will prefer a dedicated device, just as they do for other things, at the right price.
At $32, it is priced right for the risks ahead.
My Idea For A HUGE LEAP AND A $200 PRICE ON GRMN:
Make a 7" Garmin that does GPS, links to the phone via Bluetooth for live updates, and MOST IMPORTANTLY: becomes the screen for the phone!!! I would pay $100 for a device that served as a large screen for my phone and did dedicated GPS.
Wouldn't you?
A few caveats though: the company is flush with cash, has no debt and a strong operating team. At some price, people will prefer a dedicated device, just as they do for other things, at the right price.
At $32, it is priced right for the risks ahead.
My Idea For A HUGE LEAP AND A $200 PRICE ON GRMN:
Make a 7" Garmin that does GPS, links to the phone via Bluetooth for live updates, and MOST IMPORTANTLY: becomes the screen for the phone!!! I would pay $100 for a device that served as a large screen for my phone and did dedicated GPS.
Wouldn't you?
Monday, December 07, 2009
Tuesday, December 01, 2009
The Internet Forgives All Smartphone Sins
Think about it, once you have a device that is as net-centric as the Droid, it becomes a matter of choosing a site to provide you with choice. The move is towards dumb terminals with great screens that make phone calls.
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